Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.242787 1.526190 1.897122 2.436826 3.237660 4.450639 6.593021
2025-11-02 0.891979 1.200592 1.670459 2.503984 4.134375 7.816180 20.574767
2025-11-09 0.726139 1.036210 1.558545 2.631847 5.293760 14.583136 128.868267
2025-11-16 0.608891 0.901662 1.428619 2.629595 6.227569 25.814868 NaN
2025-11-23 0.519048 0.787156 1.291219 2.525505 6.795646 42.711937 NaN
2025-11-30 0.471905 0.735520 1.257097 2.651860 8.512464 122.232636 NaN
2025-12-07 0.426881 0.678080 1.193319 2.663608 9.902842 467.253249 NaN
2025-12-14 0.385189 0.619591 1.112143 2.582424 10.735739 3752.569106 NaN
2025-12-21 0.353587 0.575823 1.054159 2.549061 11.990886 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.340900 0.567462 1.076644 2.810567 17.195218 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.323902 0.547552 1.065983 2.948397 22.712839 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.303563 0.517877 1.023950 2.935640 26.551447 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.281671 0.483008 0.963452 2.820253 28.198840 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.268107 0.464784 0.944726 2.894152 36.844136 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.258128 0.453202 0.941953 3.050968 55.021238 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.245072 0.433266 0.911668 3.047816 69.311446 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.230440 0.408397 0.863110 2.918635 72.723801 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.223512 0.400453 0.863111 3.075429 124.613315 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.214225 0.386136 0.841471 3.090046 177.396711 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.203583 0.367776 0.804764 2.989156 199.386631 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.194915 0.353421 0.778636 2.947791 260.073873 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.192967 0.354793 0.802230 3.273517 1713.194600 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.188439 0.349519 0.803541 3.446559 286350.620490 NaN NaN